Workshop on Modelling of Infectious Diseases Dynamics

March 2-4, 2020

ICTP-SAIFR, São Paulo, Brazil

Auditorium of IFT-UNESP


This workshop aims to bring together different groups of researchers in mathematical models in epidemiology and facilitate the emergence of new collaborations. There is no registration fee.

Organizer: Roberto Kraenkel (IFT-UNESP, Brazil)


Plenary talks:

  • Sara del Valle (Los Alamos National Laboratory, USA): Real-time Data Fusion to Guide Influenza Forecasting Models
  • Marcelo Gomes (FIOCRUZ/RJ, Brazil): Mathematical models for infectious diseases surveillance
  • Carrie Manore (Los-Alamos National Laboratory, USA): Model-data Fusion and Forecasting for Mosquito-borne Diseases
  • Lisa White (Oxford Dept. Medicine and Big Data Institute, UK): Malaria Elimination Trials and Simulations


  • Lauren Castro (Los-Alamos National Laboratory, USA): Using heterogeneous ecological data to predict properties of dengue outbreaks in Brazil
  • Rodrigo Malavazi Corder (University of São Paulo, Brazil): Modelling the epidemiology of residual Plasmodium vivax malaria in a heterogeneous host population: a case study in the Amazon Basin
  • Renato Coutinho (UFABC, Brazil): Detecting climate drivers of malaria using a causality criterion
  • Gabriel Fabricius (INIFTA, Argentina): The dynamics of pertussis transmission: evaluating the impact of control measures through mathematical modeling
  • Claudia Pio Ferreira (UNESP-Botucatu, Brazil): The role of intra and inter-hospital patient transfer in the dissemination of
    healthcare-associated multidrug-resistant pathogens
  • Andrea A. Gómez (Centro de Estudios de Variabilidad y Cambio Climático (CEVARCAM, FICH-UNL) – CONICET, Argentina): Research topic: Infectious diseases and climate.
  • Sergio Oliva (IME-USP, Brazil): Spatial-temporal dengue outbreaks: studies toward a warning system
  • Francisco Rodrigues (University of São Paulo, Brazil): Machine Learning of Epidemic Processes in Networks
  • Gustavo Javier Sibona (Universidad Nacional de Córdoba – CONICET, Argentina): Influence of individuals spatial dynamics in a SIRS model

Short talks:

  • Laís Alves (Universidade de Brasilia, Brazil): Time-series forecasting using recurrent neural networks and Takens’ Theorem
  • Caroline Franco (IFT-UNESP, Brazil): Data-driven investigation of Dengue and Malaria Dynamics in Brazil
  • Monicque Silva Pereira (Secretariat of Infrastructure and Environment of São Paulo State, Brazil): Capybaras and Brazilian Spotted Fever – Technical Guidelines for Population Management in the State of São Paulo
  • Helio Junji Shimozako (Biological Institute of São Paulo, Brazil): Evaluation of strategy control activities of Zoonotic Visceral Leishmaniasis using mathematical modelling



Online registration is now closed


Workshop program: PDF updated on March 03, 2020

Videos and Files

2020-03-02 2020-03-03 2020-03-04




Workshop on Modelling of Infectious Diseases Dynamics

Additional Information

Registration: ALL participants should register. The registration will be on March 02 (Monday) at the institute at 01:00 pm.

List of Participants:  Updated on March 10, 2020

Visa information: Nationals from several countries in Latin America and Europe are exempt from tourist visa. The Brazilian government announced that effective June 17, 2019, a visitor visa (electronic or paper) will not be required for U.S. citizens to travel to Brazil for the purposes of tourism, business, transit and artistic and sportive activities, for stays of up to 90 days. Nationals from Australia, Canada and Japan can apply for an e-visa through VSF Global. Please check here which nationals need a tourist visa to enter Brazil.

BOARDING PASS: All participants, whose travel has been provided or will be reimbursed by the institute, should bring the boarding pass upon registration, and collect an envelope to send the return boarding pass to the institute.

Poster presentation: Participants who are presenting a poster MUST BRING A BANNER PRINTED. The banner size should be at most 1,5m x 1m. We do not accept A4 or A3 paper. Click here to see what a banner looks like:

Hotel recommendation: Participants and Speakers whose accommodation will be provided by the institute will stay at The Universe Flat.

How to reach the Institute: The workshop will be held at ICTP South American Institute, located at IFT-UNESP, which is across the street from a major bus and subway terminal (Terminal Barra Funda). The address which is closer to the entrance of the IFT-UNESP building is R. Jornalista Aloysio Biondi, 120 – Barra Funda, São Paulo. The easiest way to reach us is by subway or bus, please find instructions here.

Yellow fever vaccination is recommended for travellers going to Brazil. Note that the vaccine needs to be taken at least ten days before the trip to be effective. Information: