Advanced School and Workshop on American Monsoons: progress and future plans

August 19-24, 2019

ICTP-SAIFR, São Paulo, Brazil

Auditorium of IFT-UNESP

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The Advanced School and Workshop will bring together scientists and students for presenting and discussing the progress in research on the American monsoons and their role in the global monsoon system, and for planning future activities.

The American monsoons are important components of the global monsoon system. A very high percentage of the annual precipitation over most of South America occurs during the summer monsoon, including subtropical regions. The economy, agriculture, water and energy resources and, consequently, the livelihoods of the great majority of South America population are heavily dependent on the summer monsoon. Also the North American monsoon provides crucial water resources for Mexico, Central American countries, several island nations in the Caribbean and parts of the southwest USA. Predicting the intensity of American monsoon rainfall is not only a regional challenge, but is also relevant in the framework of a global sub-seasonal to seasonal forecasting system.

The Advanced School and Workshop are fostered by the Working Group on American Monsoons, one of the regional monsoons working groups established under the coordination of the CLIVAR/GEWEX Monsoons Panel.

Topics to be covered include:

  • Global context, main features, life cycle of the American monsoons;
  • Variability on diurnal, mesoscale and synoptic time scales; sub-seasonal to seasonal variability;
  • Variability on interannual and decadal/interdecadal time scales; modulation of extreme events by climate variability; longer term variability and climate change;
  • Predictability and prediction (weather, sub-seasonal, seasonal and longer lead times); modelling studies;
  • Impacts on society; future challenges; plans for observational studies, diagnostic analyses, and modelling activities. Discussions on future collaboration.

Participation:

The targeted audience includes scientists and advanced undergraduate and graduate students, interested in the American monsoons and their role in the global monsoon system. There is no registration fee, but the number of participants is limited. Participants are encouraged to make a presentation. If interested, please submit a short abstract of the contribution in the online registration form which will be available within the next days.

As a rule, support for travel and subsistence expenses should be secured by the participants. However, limited funds are available for graduate students and early career researchers (PhD obtained within the last 5 years) who are nationals of, and working in, a developing Latin American country, subject to selection by the activity organizers. Such support is available only for those who attend the entire activity. Those applying for support are requested to submit an abstract. As the activity will be conducted in English, participants should have an adequate knowledge of that language. 

Organizers:

  • Alice M. Grimm (Universidade Federal do Paraná (UFPR), Brazil)
  • Iracema F. A. Cavalcanti (Centro de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos Climáticos – Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (CPTEC-INPE), Brazil)
  • Manoel A. Gan (Centro de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos Climáticos – Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (CPTEC-INPE), Brazil)
  • Fred Kucharski (ICTP-Trieste, Italy)

Satisfaction survey:

Speakers

  • Marcelo Barreiro (Universidad de la Republica, Uruguay): Regional and remote controls of the South Atlantic Convergence Zone
  • Wenju Cai (CSIRO, Australia): ENSO under greenhouse warming
  • Leila M.V. Carvalho (University of California at Santa Barbara, USA):
  1. Present and future of the South American Monsoon in a Warming Climate
  2. Statistical methods to analyze climate variability in the South America Monsoon region
  • Iracema F. A. Cavalcanti (Centro de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos Climáticos – Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (CPTEC-INPE), Brazil): Main features and Life cycle –SAMS – model results
  • Tereza Cavazos (Centro de Investigacion Cientifica y de Educacion Superior de Ensenada (CICESE), Mexico): Intercomparison of observed and simulated climatic trends in the North American Monsoon
  • Caio A. S. Coelho (Centro de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos Climáticos – Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (CPTEC-INPE), Brazil): Design and assessment of a Brazilian global sub-seasonal prediction system
  • Christopher Cunning (Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN), Brazil): Climate and weather extremes during the South American Monsoon season within the context of Disaster Risk Reduction – The CEMADEN Experience
  • Maria Assunção F. da Silva Dias (Universidade de São Paulo (USP), Brazil): Diurnal and local variability of the South American Monsoon with possible effects of aerosol
  • Pedro L. da Silva Dias (Universidade de São Paulo (USP), Brazil): Paleoclimatic aspects of the South American monsoon
  • Francina Dominguez (University of Illinois at Urbana, USA): Main Features of the North American Monsoon
  • Rong Fu (University of Texas at Austin, USA): Connections between South and North American monsoons
  • Manoel A. Gan (Centro de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos Climáticos – Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (CPTEC-INPE), Brazil): Main features and Life cycle –SAMS – Observations
  • Alice M. Grimm (Universidade Federal do Paraná (UFPR), Brazil):
  1. Subseasonal variability of the South American monsoon
  2. Variability of the South American monsoon on interannual and decadal/ interdecadal time scales
  3. Sub-seasonal prediction of South American summer monsoon active and break phases
  • Cecilia Hidalgo (Universidad de Buenos Aires, Argentina): Collaborative processes in action: climate services and impact-based forecasts for southern South America
  • Mary Kayano (Centro de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos Climáticos – Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (CPTEC-INPE), Brazil): Pacific and Atlantic multidecadal oscillations: relations to the ENSO and effects on the South American rainfall

 

Poster

Announcement

Online registration is now closed

 

 

 

Program

Workshop program: PDF updated on August 19, 2019

Short Talks:

19/08 Monday

  1. Elisa Thomé Sena (Brazil, PhD): Shortening of the Amazon’s rainy season detected using satellite cloudiness observations
  2. Michelle Simões Reboita (Brazil, PhD): South American Monsoon System Lifecycle Simulated by RegCM4.7
  3. Tessa Montini (USA, PhD student): Objective categorization of SALLJ events by a Principal Components Analysis of synoptic-scale conditions
  4. Charles Jones (USA, PhD): Recent changes in the South America low-level jet

20/08 Tuesday

  1. Johanna Yepes (Colombia, PhD Student): The diurnal cycle of precipitation and gravity waves over the rainiest place on Earth
  2. Tania Katherine Ita Vargas (Peru, USA, MSc Student): Synoptic Patterns Associated with Wet Season Onset in the Tropical High Andes of Southern Peru and Bolivia
  3. Yoel Alejandro (Mexico, PhD Student): Synoptic climatology and large-scale circulation patterns over Mexico
  4. Paris Rivera (Guatemala, PhD Student): Influence of the MJO on the southern region of Guatemala

21/08 Wednesday

  1. Luis Blacutt (Bolivia, PhD): Precipitation variability on the Mamoré Basin
  2. Miguel Lovino (Argentina, PhD): Variability and changes of daily extremes over northeastern Argentina
  3. Marcia Terezinha Zilli (Brazil, PhD): Attribution Analysis of Southwestward Shift of the South Atlantic Convergence Zone-related precipitation during the last decades

 22/08 Thursday

  1. Isabel Cristina Hoyos Rincón (Colombia, PhD): Interchange of atmospheric moisture among South America catchment basins
  2. Armenia Franco-Diaz (Great Britain, PhD Student): The contribution of tropical cyclones to the atmospheric branch of Middle America’s hydrological cycle
  3. José Pablo Vega-Camarena (Mexico, PhD): Contrasting rainfall behavior between the Pacific coast and the Mexican Altiplano
  4. Victor Manuel Torres Puente (Mexico, USA, PhD Student): The relationship between Easterly Waves over the Eastern Pacific and the Monsoon of North America

Posters

19/08 Monday and 20/08 Tuesday

  1. Renan Martins Pizzochero (Brazil, MSc Student): The Southern Annular Mode influence on South America Monsoon System
  2. Luciana Figueiredo Prado (Brazil, PhD): Central Brazil precipitation variability during the last eight decades
  3. Marilia de Carvalho Campos (Brazil, PhD Student): New insights about South American hydroclimate changes during Heinrich stadials
  4. Marta Pereira Llopart (Brazil, PhD): Multimodel climate projections over South America CORDEX domain
  5. Kenedy Cipriano Silverio (Mozambique, PhD student): The importance of South America monsoon system on Southern Africa monsoon rainfall variability
  6. Nicole Cristine Laureanti (Brazil, MSc student): The influence of different scales of global SST variability modes on precipitation characteristics during the South American monsoon season
  7. Laís Gonçalves Fernandes (Brazil, PhD student): MJO impacts on South American precipitation and extreme events in El Niño years
  8. Naurinete Barreto (Brazil, PhD): The South American Monsoon System and the Madden Julian Oscillation
  9. André Luiz Leturiondo Segundo (Brazil, Undergraduate student): Case Study of Extreme Precipitation Event in Manaus Associated with the Monsoon Regime and its Predictability
  10. Mariah Sousa Gomes (Brazil, PhD student): Droughts in the South American Monsoon region
  11. Cristian José Febre Pérez (Peru, Meteorologist): Cause of severe droughts in southern Peru (1961 – 2016)
  12. Marilia Harumi Shimizu: (Brazil, PhD): Seasonal changes of the South American monsoon system during the Mid-Holocene in the CMIP5 simulations
  13. Fernanda Cerqueira Vasconcellos (Brazil, PhD): Atmospheric variability related to extreme summer precipitation over Rio de Janeiro State

 

21/08 Wednesday and 22/08 Thursday

  1. Isabel Ramos Parado (Peru, Meteorologist): Rainfall in the Peruvian Amazon_Andes associated with the South American monsoon
  1. Fabio Pinto da Rocha (Brazil, Meteorologist) : Identification of Moisture Convergence Zone (MCZ) in a select cases during the South America Moonson System(SAMS)
  1. Vivian Bauce Machado Arsego (Brazil, PhD student): Preliminary evaluation of the seasonal forecasts of the Brazilian global atmospheric model during the rainy season of the South American Monsoon System
  1. Eugenia Maria Garbarini (Argentina, PhD student): Connection between sea surface temperature and low-level geopotential height patterns in the South Atlantic Ocean
  1. Alan García Rosales (Peru, MSc Student): Spatio-temporal variability of WRF precipitation associated with the regional and local circulation in the Tropical Andes (Rio Santa Basin, Peru)
  1. Santiago Ignacio Hurtado (Argentina, PhD student): Precipitation variability over subtropical Argentina linked to SALLJ changes
  1. Luana Aparecida Scheibe (Brazil, Undergraduate student): Subseasonal prediction of active and break episodes of South American monsoon
  2. Thales Alves Teodoro (Brazil, MSc Student): Validation of the turbulent flows of latent and sensitive heat in the simulation of REGCM4.7
  3. Renata Novaes Calado: (Brazil, PhD student): SACZ associated with extreme Rainfall in the Southeast Brazil: Synoptic Analyses and ensemble forecast evaluation
  4. Jaci Maria Bilhalva Saraiva (Brazil, Meteorologist): The monsoon regime in several regions of the Brazilian Western Amazon
  5. Furqon Alfahmi (Indonesia, PhD): The Impact of Concave Coastline on Increasing Rainfall Offshore Over Indonesian Maritime Continent
  6. Douglas da Silva Lindemann (Brazil, PhD): Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) relations with the South Atlantic Convergence Zone (SACZ): past variations and future projections
  7. Juan Neres de Souza (Undergraduate student): Evaluation of the Sea Surface Temperature anomalies in the Subtropical South Atlantic Ocean region

Photos

Advanced School and Workshop on American Monsoons progress and future plans

Videos & Files

 

Advanced School and Workshop on American Monsoons: progress and future plans

 

 

#Day 1 – Advanced School and Workshop on American Monsoons: progress and future plans (1 of 2)

  • Alice Grimm: Welcome and Introduction
  • Wenju Cai: ENSO under greenhouse warming
  • Manoel Gan: Main features and Life cycle –SAMS – Observations

#Day 1 – Advanced School and Workshop on American Monsoons: progress and future plans (2 of 2)

  • Iracema Cavalcanti: Main features and Life cycle –SAMS – model results
  • Francina Dominguez: Main Features of the North American Monsoon
  • Oral presentations – 4 presentations of 20 minutes

 

 

#Day 2 – Advanced School and Workshop on American Monsoons: progress and future plans (1 of 2)

#Day 2 – Advanced School and Workshop on American Monsoons: progress and future plans (2 of 2)

  • Alice Grimm: Subseasonal variability of the South American monsoon
  • Marcelo Barreiro: Regional and remote controls of the South Atlantic Convergence Zone
  • Oral presentations – 4 presentations of 20 minutes

 

 

#Day 3 – Advanced School and Workshop on American Monsoons: progress and future plans (1 of 2)

  • Alice Grimm: Variability of the South American monsoon on interannual and decadal/ interdecadal time scales
  • Mary Kayano: Pacific and Atlantic multidecadal oscillations: relations to the ENSO and effects on the South American rainfall

#Day 3 – Advanced School and Workshop on American Monsoons: progress and future plans (2 of 2)

  • Pedro Silva Dias: Paleoclimatic aspects of the South American monsoon
  • Leila Carvalho: Present and future of the South American Monsoon in a Warming Climate
  • Oral presentations – 4 presentations of 20 minutes

 

 

#Day 4 – Advanced School and Workshop on American Monsoons: progress and future plans (1 of 2)

  • Tereza Cavazos: Intercomparison of observed and simulated climatic trends in the North American Monsoon
  • Caio Coelho: Design and assessment of a Brazilian global sub-seasonal prediction system

#Day 4 – Advanced School and Workshop on American Monsoons: progress and future plans (2 of 2)

  • Alice Grimm: Sub-seasonal prediction of South American summer monsoon active and break phases
  • Oral presentations – 4 presentations of 20 minutes

 

 

#Day 5 – Advanced School and Workshop on American Monsoons: progress and future plans (1 of 2)

  • Christopher Cunningham: Climate and weather extremes during the South American Monsoon season within the context of Disaster Risk Reduction – The CEMADEN Experience
  • Cecilia Hidalgo: Collaborative processes in action: climate services and impact-based forecasts for southern South America

#Day 5 – Advanced School and Workshop on American Monsoons: progress and future plans (2 of 2)

  • Leila Carvalho: Statistical methods to analyze climate variability in the South America Monsoon region
  • Oral presentations – 4 presentations of 20 minutes

 

 

Additional Information

Registration: ALL participants should register. The registration will be on August 19 (Monday) at the institute at 08:00 am.

List of Participants:  Updated on August 19, 2019

Visa information: Nationals from several countries in Latin America and Europe, Australia, Canada, Japan and USA are exempt from tourist visa. Please check herewhich nationals need a tourist visa to enter Brazil.Please check here which nationals need a tourist visa to enter Brazil.

BOARDING PASS: All participants, whose travel has been provided or will be reimbursed by the institute, should bring the boarding pass upon registration, and collect an envelope to send the return boarding pass to the institute.

Accommodation: Participants, whose accommodation will be provided by the institute, will stay at The Universe Flat. Hotel recommendations are available here

How to reach the Institute: The school will be held at ICTP South American Institute, located at IFT-UNESP, which is across the street from a major bus and subway terminal (Terminal Barra Funda). The address which is closer to the entrance of the IFT-UNESP building is R. Jornalista Aloysio Biondi, 120 – Barra Funda, São Paulo. The easiest way to reach us is by subway or bus, please find instructions here.

Poster presentation: Participants who are presenting a poster MUST BRING A BANNER PRINTED. The banner size should be at most 1,5m x 1m. We do not accept A4 or A3 paper. Click here to see what a banner looks like:  http://designplast.ind.br/produtos/detalhe/impressao-digital/banner/119/9

Yellow fever vaccination is recommended for travellers going to Brazil. Note that the vaccine needs to be taken at least ten days before the trip to be effective. Information: https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices/alert/yellow-fever-brazil